Consensus

SHADOW — combines our signals into one honest number; not changing any live picks yet. For each play we gather up to four INDEPENDENT signals (our raw model, our calibrated model, the market’s own price, and how a similar group of plays has actually done) and blend them into one number, keeping the market as an anchor so we never invent an edge. We also measure how much the signals AGREE, and we only call it a strong consensus when they agree AND clearly beat the market. It never changes a pick, tier, stake, or your bankroll.